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The Oklahoma City Thunder are 8.5-point favorites for Game 3 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Los Angeles Lakers at Crypto.com Arena on Saturday, tipping off at 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC. The Thunder hold a 2-0 lead in the series.
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Thunder vs. Lakers Predictions for Saturday
Our computer projections model for this encounter expects a final tally of Thunder 117, Lakers 110.
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-373)
- Total Pick: Over 211.5 (computer predicts 227.6 points)
- Pick ATS: Lakers (+8.5)
Recent Thunder vs. Lakers Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/7/2026 | Thunder | -15.5 | 211.5 | -1010 | +652 | 125-107 OKC |
| 5/5/2026 | Thunder | -15.5 | 212.5 | -901 | +602 | 108-90 OKC |
| 4/7/2026 | Thunder | -18 | 220.5 | -2439 | +1160 | 123-87 OKC |
| 4/2/2026 | Thunder | -9.5 | 232.5 | -385 | +304 | 139-96 OKC |
| 2/9/2026 | Thunder | -6.5 | 222.5 | -242 | +197 | 119-110 OKC |
| 11/12/2025 | Thunder | -8 | 229.5 | -326 | +261 | 121-92 OKC |
| 4/8/2025 | Thunder | -9.5 | 230 | -405 | +316 | 136-120 OKC |
| 4/6/2025 | Thunder | -9.5 | 231 | -410 | +318 | 126-99 LAL |
| 11/29/2024 | Thunder | -3 | 229.5 | -153 | +129 | 101-93 OKC |
Thunder 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Oklahoma City has a 39-43-0 record against the spread this season.
- When they have played as at least 8.5-point favorites this season, the Thunder are 29-28 against the spread.
- A total of 45 of Oklahoma City's 82 games with a set total have hit the over (54.9%).
- This season, the Thunder have won 62 out of the 77 games, or 80.5%, in which they've been favored.
- Oklahoma City has a record of 43-7, a 86% win rate, when it's favored by -373 or more by bookmakers this season.
Lakers 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Los Angeles' ATS record is 45-37-0 this year.
- The Lakers have a 1-5 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 8.5 points or more this season.
- In Los Angeles' 82 games with a set total, 42 have hit the over (51.2%).
- The Lakers have put together a 15-18 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 45.5% of those games).
- Los Angeles has a record of 1-3 when it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +293 or longer (25%).
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Thunder vs. Lakers Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Jalen Williams: Out (Hamstring),
Thomas Sorber: Out For Season (Knee)
Lakers
Lakers:
Jarred Vanderbilt: Questionable (Finger),
Luka Doncic: Out (Hamstring)
Thunder vs. Lakers Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Saturday, May 9, 2026
- Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ABC
- Location: Los Angeles, California
- Arena: Crypto.com Arena
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