Red Wings vs. Flames Prediction & Picks - March 16

Calgary Flames v Montreal Canadiens

Photo: Minas Panagiotakis / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Detroit Red Wings (36-23-8) host the Calgary Flames (26-33-7) at Little Caesars Arena on Monday, March 16 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Red Wings have lost three straight games.

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Prepare for this showdown with a look at who we predict will emerge with the victory in Monday's contest.

During the last 10 contests for the Flames, their offense has scored 23 goals while their defense has given up 33 (they have a 3-6-1 record in those games). In 19 power-play opportunities during that span, they have scored two goals (10.5% conversion rate).

Red Wings vs. Flames Predictions for Monday

Our computer projection model for this matchup expects a final score of Red Wings 4, Flames 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Red Wings (-185)
  • Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.0 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Flames (+1.5)

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Red Wings Splits and Trends

  • The Red Wings have a 36-23-8 record overall, with an 11-8-19 record in contests that have needed overtime.
  • Detroit has 37 points (16-3-5) in the 24 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
  • In the 10 games this season the Red Wings registered just one goal, they lost every time.
  • Detroit has finished 7-5-2 in the 14 games this season when it scored two goals (registering 16 points).
  • The Red Wings have scored at least three goals 39 times, and are 29-4-6 in those games (to record 64 points).
  • In the 28 games when Detroit has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it went 18-8-2 to register 38 points.
  • When it has outshot opponents, Detroit is 18-12-4 (40 points).
  • The Red Wings' opponents have had more shots in 30 games. The Red Wings went 18-9-3 in those matchups (39 points).

Flames Splits and Trends

  • The Flames have a record of 26-33-7 this season and are 4-7-11 in overtime games.
  • In the 19 games Calgary has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 22 points.
  • This season the Flames recorded only one goal in 17 games and they've earned two points (0-15-2) in those contests.
  • When Calgary has scored two goals this season, they've earned 15 points (7-7-1 record).
  • The Flames have scored at least three goals 29 times, earning 41 points from those matchups (19-7-3).
  • This season, Calgary has capitalized on a lone power-play goal in 17 games has a record of 7-7-3 in those matchups.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Calgary has posted a record of 9-14-3 (21 points).
  • The Flames' opponents have had more shots in 38 games. The Flames went 16-18-4 in those contests (36 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Red Wings Rank Red Wings AVG Flames AVG Flames Rank
21st 2.88 Goals Scored 2.47 32nd
12th 2.96 Goals Allowed 3.09 18th
17th 28 Shots 28.6 11th
14th 27.7 Shots Allowed 29.3 23rd
13th 21.84% Power Play % 15.79% 31st
20th 78.41% Penalty Kill % 80.73% 11th

Red Wings vs. Flames Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Monday, March 16, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, Michigan

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